Wednesday, October 25, 2006
Revisiting that Zogby Poll
Last week there was great excitement (here and elsewhere) over the new Zogby poll numbers that placed Mark Kennedy just 7.5 points behind Amy Klobuchar.
In retrospect, that excitement was premature. Looking at the Zogby polls throughout this year for the race we find that they’ve been very consistent, ranging from +6 to +9 for Klobuchar (for the mathematically disinclined, 7.5 splits that range perfectly). In other words, Kennedy 'marking time' at best. Far from positive news, this is bad, particularly with both Rasmussen and Survey USA polls trending deep against Kennedy.
In retrospect, that excitement was premature. Looking at the Zogby polls throughout this year for the race we find that they’ve been very consistent, ranging from +6 to +9 for Klobuchar (for the mathematically disinclined, 7.5 splits that range perfectly). In other words, Kennedy 'marking time' at best. Far from positive news, this is bad, particularly with both Rasmussen and Survey USA polls trending deep against Kennedy.